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Go Back   Poker Forums > Texas Hold Em Rooms > Advice & Strategy > Theory, Advice, Strategies

odds of hitting a set on the flop?

Theory, Advice, Strategies

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Old 02-11-2005, 10:49 PM
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the odds of hitting a set i thought were 13%?? at least thats what ive bin using so if anyone knows forsure then it would be a big help.
  
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Old 02-12-2005, 12:01 AM
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In limit games I will call, sometimes raise with 77 and lower about 60% of the time. I try to mix it up with pp just because when the hit they can be very profitable when the hit espcially when someone has hit AK and hit a pair.
  
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Old 02-12-2005, 12:22 AM
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13% is 1/7.
  
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Old 02-12-2005, 12:31 AM
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With on line poker the odds seem a little diiferent ,is there a book of odds by each site?
  
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Old 02-12-2005, 05:00 AM
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u hit a set about 1 out of every 7 times i think im not positive
  
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Old 02-12-2005, 11:52 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by texaswalker
if you hit a straight and flush draw on the flop (15 outs) you have 54% chance to win making you the favorite, on the turn you drop to 32.6% chance to make your draw

an flush draw on the flop is 35% on the turn is 19.6%
I almost never hit when I have str8 and flush draw...hate that hand.
  
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Old 02-12-2005, 11:55 PM
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Dont know what it is , but I like to play flush draws more so than str8 draws. Just feels like the odds are better to hit the flush. I know this isnt the case, just feels that way.
  
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Old 02-12-2005, 11:58 PM
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I thought you are 16 to 18% preflop odds to hit your set with a pocket pair? I don't know I thought I read it somewhere.
  
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Old 02-13-2005, 06:45 AM
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it's low for sure.. 1 in 9. but i know you'll be delt a a 1 in 220.
  
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Old 02-13-2005, 07:25 AM
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According to Doyle (Super System), and I quote, "The probability that if you hold a pair, at least one more of that kind will Flop"....11.76% of the time, or the odds being 7.51 to 1------"The probability that if you have a Pair AFTER the Flop, at least one more of that kind will turn up (on the next two cards)"....8.42% of the time, or the odds being 10.9 to 1.------------I hope this helped you out.
  
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