Quote:
Originally Posted by RacingDog And like I recently remarked of other crap hands, people drip on about "when you hit your cards" and totally fail to say anything about the fortune it costs you when you find you are still losing.
Rule #1, optimism leads to long term losses, so don't play crap hands.
Rule #2, ignore Rule #1 and play them (down to say 64 suited in late pos) when you have a good reason other than optimism. |
Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't AK a crappy hand if you miss the board? If you have deep enough stacks and you can outplay people after the flop, why exactly shouldn't you see a flop in position with 7-5 suited? I love peoples arguments for playing strictly high cards. Explain to me why QJ off is better that 7-5 suited at a full table. WIth 7-5 suited you know where your at, but the hands people put you on are very far off, which leads to great, great implied odds. Did you know if you hold 7s 5s suited vs. Ad Jd suited on a flop of As 9s 7d, you are a 51% favorite to win by the river?
Tell me why its dumb to think this way and I'll respect that point of view.
I'm not telling peopleto call large raises with these, I'm telling them to see flops early when the blinds are small and you only sacrifice 1/20th of your stack to see a flop (when you are getting 1:4 (or so) to call pre) with what is a dangerous hand contrary to your belief.
Heres a hand where I flopped 14 outs. Tell me it was dumb to call preflop when I can hit a board like that. Not to mention if the flop hits with cards only in my neighborhood and not high cards. Playing like this can cost you money, but if you're playing to win, what hands do you want? Big ones with lots of chips. With these hands, as I've seen, if you hit your hand (more than 12 outs or a made hand) you are extremely likely to double up. Why would you fold when you can flop a monster, which is not that rare.
It is
11% to flop a flush draw
32% of flopping a pair
2% of flopping two pair
40% of flopping two cards in a sequence (for gutshots and such)
1.35% of flopping trips
24% chance of hitting your money card on the flop (the card to fill your gap)
Note I did not even include the odds of flopping a double belly buster or an open ended straight draw, as I could not find them on any sites.
Now if you hit any two of those (say a flush draw and a gutshot) you have alot of outs, now if you hold 75suited on a board of 4 3 10 with two of your suit vs. AK off, you have 18 outs.
Tell me why is dumb to think like that.
BTW, I don't think conventionally about hold'em which is "I need high cards and middle pocket pairs or better to play, regardless of position." I will call a standard raise on the button with 8-6 suited, but not A-8 suited because I will be dominated most of the time. I always put my self in worst case scenario, and if I dont have enough outs I get out.
Full Tilt Poker Game #4641967356: $8 + $0.80 Sit & Go (35145207), Table 11 - 25/50 - No Limit Hold'em - 13:27:20 ET - 2007/12/27
Seat 1: CLC66 (1,500)
Seat 2: LOLRIVERDONKEY (5)
Seat 3: DoWncall (2,390)
Seat 4: PeppersChili (1,395)
Seat 5: bourke1 (2,075)
Seat 6: bulletsNBoys (3,860)
Seat 7: alex-p-68 (4,140)
Seat 8: TheAce420 (2,050)
Seat 9: FATguyATEurKIDS (2,075)
PeppersChili posts the small blind of 25
bourke1 posts the big blind of 50
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to PeppersChili [

]
bulletsNBoys folds
alex-p-68 folds
TheAce420 raises to 175
FATguyATEurKIDS folds
CLC66 calls 175
LOLRIVERDONKEY folds
DoWncall folds
PeppersChili has 15 seconds left to act
PeppersChili calls 150
<==== I'm getting about 1:3 to call I would say I hit a flop hard 1/3 times (not even mentioning the implied odds on this, similar to small pocket pairs)
bourke1 calls 125
*** FLOP *** [

]
PeppersChili checks
bourke1 checks
TheAce420 checks
CLC66 bets 700
PeppersChili calls 700
bourke1 folds
TheAce420 folds
*** TURN *** [As 7d 9s] [7h]
PeppersChili bets 520, and is all in
CLC66 calls 520
PeppersChili shows [5s 7s]
CLC66 shows [Jd Ad]
*** RIVER *** [As 7d 9s 7h] [Ts]
PeppersChili shows a flush, Ace high
CLC66 shows two pair, Aces and Sevens
PeppersChili wins the pot (3,140) with a flush, Ace high
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 3,140 | Rake 0
Board: [As 7d 9s 7h Ts]
Seat 1: CLC66 showed [Jd Ad] and lost with two pair, Aces and Sevens
Seat 2: LOLRIVERDONKEY didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: DoWncall (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: PeppersChili (small blind) showed [5s 7s] and won (3,140) with a flush, Ace high
Seat 5: bourke1 (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 6: bulletsNBoys didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: alex-p-68 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 8: TheAce420 folded on the Flop
Seat 9: FATguyATEurKIDS didn't bet (folded)
Full Tilt Poker Game #4555490490: Table Laurel Ridge - $1/$2 - No Limit Hold'em - 15:25:52 ET - 2007/12/19
Seat 1: Kungen18 ($219.60)
Seat 2: 0_Drunkenboxer ($200)
Seat 3: Masterplan666 ($214.15)
Seat 4: NoTurns ($282.55)
Seat 5: PeppersChili ($192.05)
Seat 6: grapejuice808 ($96.95)
Seat 8: jdm_wrx ($121.90)
Seat 9: bravepeety ($198)
NoTurns posts the small blind of $1
PeppersChili posts the big blind of $2
5 seconds left to act
0_Drunkenboxer posts $2
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to PeppersChili [4c 2c]
grapejuice808 folds
jdm_wrx folds
bravepeety calls $2
Kungen18 calls $2
0_Drunkenboxer raises to $12
Masterplan666 folds
TeriG sits down
TeriG adds $200
NoTurns folds
TeriG is feeling confused
PeppersChili calls $10
bravepeety folds
Kungen18 folds
*** FLOP *** [Ac 3s Kc]
PeppersChili checks
0_Drunkenboxer bets $20
PeppersChili calls $20
*** TURN *** [Ac 3s Kc] [5s]
PeppersChili checks
0_Drunkenboxer has 15 seconds left to act
0_Drunkenboxer bets $35
PeppersChili calls $35
*** RIVER *** [Ac 3s Kc 5s] [6h]
PeppersChili has 15 seconds left to act
PeppersChili bets $90
0_Drunkenboxer has 15 seconds left to act
0_Drunkenboxer has requested TIME
0_Drunkenboxer raises to $133, and is all in
PeppersChili calls $35.05, and is all in
Uncalled bet of $7.95 returned to 0_Drunkenboxer
*** SHOW DOWN ***
0_Drunkenboxer shows [Ks Ad] two pair, Aces and Kings
PeppersChili shows [4c 2c] a straight, Six high
PeppersChili wins the pot ($386.10) with a straight, Six high
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $389.10 | Rake $3
Board: [Ac 3s Kc 5s 6h]
Seat 1: Kungen18 folded before the Flop
Seat 2: 0_Drunkenboxer showed [Ks Ad] and lost with two pair, Aces and Kings
Seat 3: Masterplan666 (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: NoTurns (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 5: PeppersChili (big blind) showed [4c 2c] and won (
$386.10) with a straight, Six high
<=== I could not have made this much money with any other hand than a set. Ask yourself when you hold AK in his situation, "What hand beats me? His only answer is pocket threes (based on how preflop and post flop are played."
Seat 6: grapejuice808 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 8: jdm_wrx didn't bet (folded)
Seat 9: bravepeety folded before the Flop
With these hands you are not looking at small pots, you are looking at monster pots. Lets say you win $370 only every 1 out of ten tries, is worth it to risk $10 preflop with this hand? Yes, it is worth it if you win $370 1 out of every 37 tries. That is my point, you are looking to get alot of chips, and these hands can get those chips for you. Its not a matter of optimism, its a matter of odds. Hitting at least 12 outs with these hands is fairly common. With that said, I don't always play these and I would not recommend beginning players playing like this.