A prize pool theory

So maybe I'm a little crazy here, but I was bored and came up with this thought.

1600 players buy in to the tournament for $10, prize pool is $16,000.

To run a profit, you need to make at least $11.01. To keep it simple, we will work with the knowledge that $16 would be a profit. $16 is .1 % of the prize pool or 1/1,000.

Once the tournament is down to 1,000 players, you now have a positive equity in the tournament. Meaning that if you *consistently* make it to 1,000 players left, and continue to play well for the remainder of the tournament every time, you should make a profit overall, regardless of how many chips you have in an individual tournament.

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Hmmm that would be easy to obtain You can sit out the first 45 to 60 minutes and watch that many go out in most none turbo mtts under 50.

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that would be great except for the fact hat if you dont make the top 10-20% you get nothing

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2007 THFSOP LIMIT HOLD' EM CHAMPION

Well the idea is that as long as you are playing at least a break even stratigy, you will end up in that top 10-20% often enough to make a profit.

Or in other words, playing break even would be profitable as long as their are enough bad players in the tournament who go broke early.

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only problem is that the prize money is skewed in favour of top 3 finishes so it is how often you can get these really that counts and having a big stack is a huge asset in a tourney .

The first 3 hours of a tourney (1000+ non turbo) is really all about gaining chips rather than anything else. It is far better to be an imposing stack coming up to the first $$$ rather than scraping buy ins back.

Still a similar strategy is effective in 1 -2 table sngs (hold out play tight) and there are so many variables in big tourneys it is very hard to prove that it wouldnt be effective in large tourneys.

Scrapping is fun,being a shortstack going in has isnt that bad if you have the patience.Its biggest advantage is its biggest disadvantage,youll get calls you normally wouldnt and shouldnt.

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Who said you would be shortstack?

I didn't in anyway imply you would be playing weak, the only thing this *might* change is your calling requirements for an all-in play.

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