I'm a relatively new player (~6 months). I've recently been trying to memorize the odds tables, to make more educated bets/calls/folds...
One common way I've found to find the chance of hitting a hand, is to use the number of outs to give a close approximation of the percentage of time a certain hand will hit after the flop. For example, a 4 flush will hit the 5th flush 35% of the time after the flop (2 cards left), and 19% of the time after the turn (1 card left). You multiply the number of outs (9 in this case) by 4 if you've got 2 cards left, and by 2 if you've got one card left - this will get you close to the 35 & 19% numbers above. This seems to be common knowledge....
I've been trying to make some sense of pot odds though, and how to figure them without having to memorize them. I think I've come up with a neat way to get close, and was wondering if anyone else had seen it? I've not seen it presented this way.
Let's use the example above - you have a 35% chance of hitting a 5th card for your flush after the flop (1.86-1).
35% goes into 100(%)
about 3 times. Subtract 1 =
2. You'd need
about 2 to one odds to make the call worth it. That's pretty close to the 1.86-1 above...
Say you get 2 pair on the flop and want to go for a full house. You'll hit that 3rd card about 16% of the time (true odds of 5.06-1) 16 divided into 100 is about 6.
6 subtract 1 = pot odds of
5-1. You'd need
5-1 odds or better to make the call worth it...
Maybe this is common knowledge, but I haven't found it anywhere yet, and thought maybe it'd help some folks out who were trying to make sense of the odds...
