Well, you need to look at a couple factors here:
Blackinks play:
-He's the table short stack, only has 800 chips to start the hand. While that is well over the 20 blind mark that we like to stay above, it won't be for long. You generally don't have too many big pots either at 10/20 and 15/30, so looking to go all in here isn't too unreasonable. While he doesn't have a made hand, he has a large number of outs - 8 on the open ended straight draw, 7 on the flush, and 3 for his Jack (while he should be putting you on a pocket pair, he doesn't know how strong...it really is unknown if his J is an out). Still, that leaves him with 15 definite outs, possibly 18. You still count your 7s, because he doesn't know you have 77 obviously. His play post flop was a little loose, especially since your raise was under the gun...but thats my only problem with his play.
Your play:
I'm not quite so sure about your UTG raise with 77...what if someone had reraised you - it pretty much forces you out, and you could actually have the advantage (what if they hold AK or something similar). Anyways, as for your post flop play...I'm not sure I would have called the reraise all in by Blackinks...isn't it a possibility that he is holding a monster and was slowplaying? While it's equally likely that he holds something like AK and is making a stand, believing that he has you beat.
In reality, I can't complain with a call or fold here. You're getting paid 1100:440, 2.5:1 odds. If you are behind right now, you have 6 outs, giving you roughly a 25% chance to come back. While you aren't getting good enough pot odds to make a call in that situation, there's a good enough chance that you are in fact, ahead. In the end, I think you need to put yourself at 50% chance of being ahead right now in order to make the call.
__________________ 1st place, March/April 2008 Sunday League Fault always lies in the same place, my fine babies: with him weak enough to lay blame. |