hand evaluation did I make the right call? Hi there you all!,
I need some experienced players to evaluate this hand I lost today. ok I was playing on FullTilt in a 1800man freeroll tourney for a cash prize. I was doing well and had a large chip stack. Heres how the hand played out.
9 players at the table
I was in BB, 50.00 ,SB was 25.00
UTG player folds
player UTG+1 raises to 200.00 pre-flop with 1,500.00 in his stack
next 4 players fold
player on the button folds
at this point the action is 3 way pre-flop with 1 raise of 200.00 to play
SB calls the 200.00 and has 1,135.00 in his stack
action is to me with Ad,Kc, I raise to 350.00 to play with 5,250.00 in my stack
UTG+1 calls
total pot is now 900.00
action is to SB with 960.00 left in his stack and he calls
pot is now 1,050 pre-flop
the flop comes 5d,10d,7d,
(WITH A WEAK HAND AND ONLY A PAIR OF 10's HE SHOULD HAVE FOLDED RIGHT HERE BECAUSE OF MY PRE-FLOP AND POST FLOP RAISES /AGGRESSION Right?)he's hand chasing which is dumb right?)
I'm holding Ad,Kc so I'm 4 cards into the nut flush with 2 cards to come.
A/K off-suit is a group 2 hand according to the Sklansky/Malmuth starting hand group charts, which is a very strong starting hand and the EV for this hand in real play is 0.59-0.38. odds of getting dealt this hand 110:1
At this point I feel very confident that my hand will hold up.
It could be argued that I should have gone all in to drive the other two out and take down the pot but,but I didnt want to loose the tourney to a donkey call that got lucky.(which is exactly what was about to happen anyway)
the action moves to the SB with 810.00 left in his stack he goes all-in
I call
UTG+1 folds
play is now heads up for a pot of 2,670.00
we turn both hands up and now this is what I see
me Ad,Kc (group 2 hand)
him Q/10 suited /hearts(group 4 hand)
board reads 5d,10d,7d with 2 cards to come
me 4 cards to the nut flush+broadway straight draw+any Ace or King
so if I calculate correctly I have like ...
any diamond =9 cards
any Ace or King =6 cards
total outs = 15
so I should be 54.12% to win this hand by the river
ok the turn comes 5h
now the opponent has 2 pair 5's and 10's
my outs now drop to 9
I'm still 34.97% for the win
the river of sorrow comes 3h
DISASTER!!!!! ...for me anyway .....so the opponents says I'm a donkey and that I dont know my pot odds and that I was starting with nothing and betting on air......
....my response was..."no I had the better starting hand and I had you dominated, I made the right moves pre-and post flop...you made a bad call with a marginal hand and got lucky so in this case you are the dam donkey!"
so the question is.....
did I play the hand right? did I make the right moves?
how can I improve my game play the next time I run into this position?
Thanks for any insight!
DonkSLayer41 |